GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlanta United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bethlehem Steel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atlanta United II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlanta United II hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Atlanta United II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlanta United II

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Atlanta United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bethlehem SteelDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlanta United IIWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bethlehem SteelAtlanta United II
36.4Attack69.8
56.1Defence46.0
42.4Form54.0
46.2Power56.7
1.25xG1.77
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