Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
14%
MediumconfidenceBeşiktaş are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Çorum FK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Süper Lig, favouring a draw with 13.9% confidence, a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.1%
Model confidence
13.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BeşiktaşWWWDL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Çorum FKWWLWD
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
BeşiktaşÇorum FK
45.6Attack50.0
58.8Defence50.0
49.1Form50.0
52.3Power50.0
1.43xG1.09