Be'sat Kermanshahvs
Naft Gachsaran
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 9/16/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Be'sat Kermanshah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Be'sat Kermanshah 0-0 Naft Gachsaran
Original prediction
Be'sat Kermanshah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.7% | 39.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.69 | 33.6% | 29.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.8% | 31.0% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Be'sat Kermanshah
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Be'sat Kermanshah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00