Be'sat Kermanshahvs
Naft Bandar Abbas
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/5/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Be'sat Kermanshah 0-0 Naft Bandar Abbas, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Be'sat Kermanshah 2-1 Naft Bandar Abbas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 33.5% | 35.5% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 31.4% | 33.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 35.1% | 30.9% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Be'sat Kermanshah 0–0 Naft Bandar Abbas
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.6%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40