Besa Kavajëvs
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Besa Kavajë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Besa Kavajë 2-0 Iliria Fushë-Krujë
Original prediction
Besa Kavajë
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.6% | 42.8% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 27.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 18.1% | 29.3% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Besa Kavajë
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Besa Kavajë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60