GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/11/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Borussia Mönchengladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Bersenbrück are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Borussia Mönchengladbach are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Borussia Mönchengladbach hold a 70.9-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 77.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the DFB Pokal, while Borussia Mönchengladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Borussia Mönchengladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BersenbrückWLWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Borussia MönchengladbachDWWWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BersenbrückBorussia Mönchengladbach
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence75.0
0.0Form75.0
7.0Power77.9
1.34xG2.67
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