Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beroe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beroe 0-0 Montana
Original prediction
Beroe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.0% | 39.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.3% | 27.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 32.7% | 33.3% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Beroe
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Beroe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BeroeDWLWL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MontanaWLWLW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BeroeMontana
50.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence55.6
55.6Form55.6
58.0Power59.8
1.36xG1.20