GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/24/2023, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arda Kardzhali · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Beroe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arda Kardzhali are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arda Kardzhali hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the First League, while Arda Kardzhali holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arda Kardzhali

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Arda Kardzhali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BeroeWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Arda KardzhaliDLWLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BeroeArda Kardzhali
28.6Attack41.7
56.2Defence75.0
40.0Form58.3
43.4Power60.3
0.65xG1.10
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