Bermudavs
Guadeloupe
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bermuda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bermuda 1-2 Guadeloupe
Original prediction
Bermuda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.8% | 39.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.7% | 27.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.6% | 32.6% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Bermuda
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Bermuda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.75/2.50
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00