Berkhamstedvs
Uxbridge
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uxbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Berkhamsted 1-0 Uxbridge
Original prediction
Uxbridge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.1% | 29.9% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.6% | 27.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 33.3% | 42.8% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Uxbridge
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Uxbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00