Berkhamstedvs
Malvern Town
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berkhamsted · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Berkhamsted are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Malvern Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Berkhamsted hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Berkhamsted holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Berkhamsted
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Berkhamsted has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40