GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/13/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Wegberg-Beeck are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachLDDWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Wegberg-BeeckLWWLD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bergisch GladbachWegberg-Beeck
60.9Attack66.7
64.4Defence43.3
66.7Form53.3
63.8Power54.4
2.38xG1.31
View match centre →