GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 8/27/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfL Vichttal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while VfL Vichttal are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 3.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and VfL Vichttal hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while VfL Vichttal holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VfL Vichttal

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

VfL Vichttal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachWWLLW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VfL VichttalLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 3.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Bergisch GladbachVfL Vichttal
60.9Attack85.1
64.4Defence65.5
66.7Form67.8
63.8Power70.3
1.38xG1.75
View match centre →