GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SSVg Velbert are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachWDWWL

GF 22 · GA 6 · avg 4.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SSVg VelbertLLLDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bergisch GladbachSSVg Velbert
66.7Attack61.1
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form50.0
45.9Power37.6
2.87xG1.90
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