GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 11/9/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SSV Merten are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SSV Merten hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachDWWDW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SSV MertenLWWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Bergisch GladbachSSV Merten
60.9Attack84.4
64.4Defence51.1
66.7Form66.7
63.8Power66.7
1.98xG1.72
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