GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 3/9/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while SSV Merten are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SSV Merten hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachLWLLD

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SSV MertenLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bergisch GladbachSSV Merten
60.9Attack84.4
64.4Defence51.1
66.7Form66.7
63.8Power66.7
1.98xG1.72
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