GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 2/25/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Siegburger SV are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

56.7%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachLWDLD

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Siegburger SVWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bergisch GladbachSiegburger SV
60.9Attack49.4
64.4Defence54.0
66.7Form46.0
63.8Power50.6
1.95xG0.96
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