GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/15/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Porz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.9% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

77.9%

Model confidence

77.9%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PorzDLLLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bergisch GladbachPorz
60.9Attack46.0
64.4Defence27.6
66.7Form39.1
63.8Power39.3
3.17xG0.87
View match centre →