GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 8/13/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Porz are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.9% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

77.9%

Model confidence

77.9%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachLLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.75/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
PorzD

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Bergisch GladbachPorz
60.9Attack46.0
64.4Defence27.6
66.7Form39.1
63.8Power39.3
3.17xG0.87
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