GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 5/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

75.1%

Model confidence

75.1%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachLWDWW

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hennef 05WLWLL

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Bergisch GladbachHennef 05
60.9Attack49.4
64.4Defence29.9
66.7Form40.2
63.8Power41.0
3.05xG0.94
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