GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 4/21/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

75.1%

Model confidence

75.1%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachLWDWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hennef 05LLLWL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bergisch GladbachHennef 05
60.9Attack49.4
64.4Defence29.9
66.7Form40.2
63.8Power41.0
3.05xG0.94
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