GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 4/7/2024, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Freialdenhoven are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachDWWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FreialdenhovenDWDDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bergisch GladbachFreialdenhoven
60.9Attack54.0
64.4Defence50.6
66.7Form41.4
63.8Power48.8
2.11xG1.04
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