GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 3/23/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Frechen are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachWWLWL

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FrechenDWDWD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Bergisch GladbachFrechen
60.9Attack78.2
64.4Defence62.1
66.7Form66.7
63.8Power66.5
1.54xG1.59
View match centre →