Bergisch Gladbachvs
Frechen
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/17/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Frechen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80