GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/17/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Frechen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Frechen

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FrechenWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Bergisch GladbachFrechen
60.9Attack78.2
64.4Defence62.1
66.7Form66.7
63.8Power66.5
1.54xG1.59
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