GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 12/10/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fortuna Köln II are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachDDWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Fortuna Köln IIDDDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bergisch GladbachFortuna Köln II
60.9Attack55.2
64.4Defence46.0
66.7Form44.8
63.8Power48.8
2.31xG1.07
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