GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/12/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Düren Merzenich are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.0% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

70.0%

Model confidence

70.0%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachWDDWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Düren MerzenichWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bergisch GladbachDüren Merzenich
60.9Attack54.4
64.4Defence34.4
66.7Form42.2
63.8Power44.7
2.83xG1.04
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