GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/1/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while BCV Glesch / Paffendorf are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 42.9-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 20.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.6% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

90.6%

Model confidence

90.6%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachWLWLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BCV Glesch / PaffendorfDDLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Bergisch GladbachBCV Glesch / Paffendorf
60.9Attack27.5
64.4Defence11.8
66.7Form11.8
63.8Power20.9
4.07xG0.54
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