Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bergerac · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Bergerac are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Trélissac are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergerac hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the National 2 - Group B, while Bergerac holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bergerac
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Bergerac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67