Bergantiñosvs
Real Oviedo II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bergantiños · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bergantiños 3-0 Real Oviedo II
Original prediction
Bergantiños
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 46.9% | 57.0% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 27.9% | 22.4% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.1% | 20.6% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Bergantiños
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Bergantiños has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00