Bergantiñosvs
Coruxo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bergantiños · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bergantiños 0-0 Coruxo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bergantiños 3-1 Coruxo
Original prediction
Bergantiños
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.0% | 40.1% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 29.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.9% | 30.9% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Projected Score
Bergantiños 0–0 Coruxo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Bergantiños
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Bergantiños has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BergantiñosWWLWW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
CoruxoDLDWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BergantiñosCoruxo
43.1Attack45.1
63.7Defence63.7
47.1Form51.0
52.6Power54.6
1.01xG0.91