Bergantiñosvs
Amorebieta
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bergantiños · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bergantiños 1-0 Amorebieta
Original prediction
Bergantiños
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.1% | 40.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.1% | 29.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 27.8% | 29.6% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Bergantiños
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Bergantiños has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40