Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Berga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Räppe are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Berga hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.3% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Berga holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Berga
Probability
80.3%
Model confidence
80.3%
Berga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80