GGOALVIO

Sweden · Svenska Cupen · 6/6/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Berga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Berga are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Oskarshamns AIK are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Berga hold a 52.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Svenska Cupen, while Berga holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Berga

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Berga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BergaWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Oskarshamns AIKLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
BergaOskarshamns AIK
66.7Attack0.0
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
59.3Power7.0
2.42xG1.23
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