GGOALVIO

Ghana · Premier League · 9/29/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Berekum Chelsea are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Accra Lions are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Accra Lions hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Berekum ChelseaLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Accra LionsWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Berekum ChelseaAccra Lions
35.4Attack37.4
60.6Defence65.7
50.5Form51.5
50.7Power53.0
0.79xG0.82
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