Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Berca are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 5.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Baicoi are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Baicoi hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Cupa României, while Berca holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Berca
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
7.3%
Berca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 5.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 2.25/1.75