Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lovćen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Berane are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Lovćen are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lovćen hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Second League, while Lovćen holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lovćen
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Lovćen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/3.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50