Bentonit Ijevanvs
Sardarapat 2
COMPLETEDArmenia · First League · 10/21/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bentonit Ijevan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bentonit Ijevan 3-2 Sardarapat 2
Original prediction
Bentonit Ijevan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 80.7% | 73.8% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 7.49 | 11.8% | 14.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 11.90 | 7.5% | 11.8% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Bentonit Ijevan
Probability
73.8%
Model confidence
73.8%
Bentonit Ijevan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40