Bentín Tacna Heroicavs
Santos
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 8/30/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bentín Tacna Heroica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bentín Tacna Heroica 1-0 Santos, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bentín Tacna Heroica 3-1 Santos
Original prediction
Bentín Tacna Heroica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.6% | 56.6% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.4% | 27.6% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 5.67 | 16.0% | 15.9% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Projected Score
Bentín Tacna Heroica 1–0 Santos
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Bentín Tacna Heroica
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Bentín Tacna Heroica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60