GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 4/26/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bentín Tacna Heroica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Comerciantes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 61.7 against 60.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

25.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bentín Tacna HeroicaWWDLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ComerciantesWWWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bentín Tacna HeroicaComerciantes
47.2Attack41.7
72.2Defence75.0
61.1Form58.3
61.7Power60.6
0.78xG0.63
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