Bentín Tacna Heroicavs
Alianza Universidad
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 10/25/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bentín Tacna Heroica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bentín Tacna Heroica 1-0 Alianza Universidad, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bentín Tacna Heroica 1-0 Alianza Universidad
Original prediction
Bentín Tacna Heroica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 51.6% | 46.1% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.7% | 29.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.11 | 21.7% | 24.6% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Projected Score
Bentín Tacna Heroica 1–0 Alianza Universidad
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Bentín Tacna Heroica
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Bentín Tacna Heroica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60