GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/1/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Albans Saints · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bentleigh Greens are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while St. Albans Saints are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Albans Saints hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Victoria NPL, while St. Albans Saints holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Albans Saints

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

13.8%

St. Albans Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bentleigh GreensLDLWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
St. Albans SaintsLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bentleigh GreensSt. Albans Saints
29.2Attack38.9
34.7Defence41.7
29.2Form38.9
32.8Power42.3
1.08xG1.45
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