GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 6/5/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Bentleigh Greens are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Hume City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 63.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

75.2%

Model confidence

12.1%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bentleigh GreensLDDLL

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Hume CityDWWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bentleigh GreensHume City
29.2Attack66.7
34.7Defence55.6
29.2Form63.9
32.8Power63.3
0.78xG2.65
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