GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/3/2023, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bentleigh Greens · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bentleigh Greens are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Green Gully are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bentleigh Greens hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Victoria NPL, while Bentleigh Greens holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bentleigh Greens

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Bentleigh Greens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bentleigh GreensLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Green GullyLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Bentleigh GreensGreen Gully
29.2Attack27.8
34.7Defence31.9
29.2Form20.8
32.8Power29.3
1.31xG1.02
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