GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 5/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benjamín Aceval · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Benjamín Aceval are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sportivo Carapeguá are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Benjamín Aceval hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Division Intermedia, while Benjamín Aceval holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Benjamín Aceval

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

13.4%

Benjamín Aceval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Benjamín AcevalWWWLD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo CarapeguáLLDWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Benjamín AcevalSportivo Carapeguá
52.6Attack40.7
66.7Defence46.3
61.4Form46.3
61.7Power47.1
1.89xG0.71
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