Benjamín Acevalvs
SOL DE America
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benjamín Aceval · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Benjamín Aceval 0-1 SOL DE America
Original prediction
Benjamín Aceval
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 08:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.6% | 39.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.6% | 27.0% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 32.8% | 33.4% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Benjamín Aceval
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Benjamín Aceval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40