Benjamín Acevalvs
Paraguari AC
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/14/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benjamín Aceval · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Benjamín Aceval 1-3 Paraguari AC
Original prediction
Benjamín Aceval
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.1% | 52.4% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.9% | 25.4% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.0% | 22.2% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Benjamín Aceval
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Benjamín Aceval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60