Benjamín Acevalvs
Atlético Tembetary
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/21/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benjamín Aceval · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Benjamín Aceval 2-1 Atlético Tembetary
Original prediction
Benjamín Aceval
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.6% | 53.7% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.8% | 23.2% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 28.6% | 23.1% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Benjamín Aceval
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Benjamín Aceval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80