Benjamín Acevalvs
12 de Junio VH
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benjamín Aceval · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Benjamín Aceval 1-1 12 de Junio VH
Original prediction
Benjamín Aceval
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.5% | 37.1% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.0% | 28.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.5% | 34.4% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Benjamín Aceval
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Benjamín Aceval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60