Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bengaluru · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bengaluru 3-2 SC Delhi
Original prediction
Bengaluru
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.9% | 42.9% | -14.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.5% | 27.7% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.91 | 18.6% | 29.4% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Bengaluru
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Bengaluru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BengaluruWWDDD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SC DelhiDLDDL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BengaluruSC Delhi
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.45xG1.23