Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Benfica

Benfica

Home
W
20
Full time
Villarreal

Villarreal

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Villarreal33%
Benfica33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Benfica
Win probability
Benfica
33%
Draw
33%
Villarreal
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Benfica
73
Villarreal
9
Defence
Benfica
91
Villarreal
27
Momentum
Benfica
100
Villarreal
0
Danger (xG)
Benfica
1.80
Villarreal
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Benfica)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Villarreal)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Benfica)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Villarreal)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BenficaBenfica
WWD
VillarrealVillarreal
LL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Benfica33%
Draw33%
Villarreal33%

Villarreal leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Benfica head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Villarreal arrive in mixed form (L). Benfica have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Villarreal over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Benfica's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Villarreal defence (27/100), while Villarreal's attack is up against a watertight Benfica backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Benfica's favour.

Benfica have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Villarreal have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Benfica have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Benfica to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Benfica 3333%, Draw 3333%, Villarreal 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Benfica 1Draws 00 Villarreal
Avg goals: 2.0
17 Jul 2026
Benfica
W20
Villarreal

Recent form

Benfica

Benfica

W
vs Villarreal
17 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Estoril
16 May 2026
30
D
vs SC Braga
11 May 2026
22
Villarreal

Villarreal

L
@ Benfica
17 Jul 2026
02
L
vs Sevilla
13 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Benfica vs Villarreal?

GoalVio's model predicts Benfica to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Villarreal?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Benfica vs Villarreal?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Benfica vs Villarreal?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more